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Vedanta's Q1 Performance Moderated Due To Commodity Prices, Says Systematix Maintaining 'Buy'

Systematix values Vedanta FY27 EV/Ebitda SoTP with a revised target price of Rs 510/share, implying an upside of 20% from current market price.

<div class="paragraphs"><p>Vedanta’s Q1 FY26 consolidated Ebitda at Rs 99.2 billion (flat YoY, -13.5% QoQ) was 9% below estimate.</p><p>(Source:&nbsp;Vedanta Resources website)</p></div>
Vedanta’s Q1 FY26 consolidated Ebitda at Rs 99.2 billion (flat YoY, -13.5% QoQ) was 9% below estimate.

(Source: Vedanta Resources website)

Vedanta Ltd. remains committed to growth and has spent $5.6 billion out of the approved capex of $9.4 billion across its major operating segments. These projects not only focus on value addition and volume-led growth but also on backward integration and raw material securitization to ensure margin sustenance.

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Systematix Report

We revise our FY26E/FY27E Ebitda estimate lower by 4%/3% based on a mix of operational guidance for FY26 and revision in commodity price assumptions. Vedanta Ltd. remains committed to growth and has spent $5.6 billion out of the approved capex of $9.4 billion across its major operating segments.

These projects not only focus on value addition and volume-led growth but also on backward integration and raw material securitization to ensure margin sustenance.

Vedanta has delivered 15%/11%/11% revenue/Ebitda/PAT CAGR over FY21-FY25, and ongoing capex and various deleveraging strategies are likely to translate these CAGRs to 6%/14%/25% over FY25-FY27.

We value Vedanta FY27 EV/Ebitda SoTP with a revised target price of Rs 510/share (Rs 508/share earlier), implying an upside of 20% from current market price.

Click on the attachment to read the full report:

Systematix Vedanta - 1QFY26 Results Update.pdf
Opinion
Vedanta Q1 Results: Profit Declines 9%, Revenue Down 6.5%

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