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This Article is From Jul 14, 2025

'Reduce' DMart Shares Maintains Dolat Capital Post Q1 Results — Check Revised Target Price

'Reduce' DMart Shares Maintains Dolat Capital Post Q1 Results — Check Revised Target Price
Accelerated store expansion, soft base, category-mix improvement, new launches and built-up in DMart Ready are potential triggers.(Photo: Vijay Sartape/NDTV Profit)
STOCKS IN THIS STORY
Avenue Supermarts Ltd.
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DMart's standalone revenue growth was a tad soft at 16.2% YoY. Growth was impacted by 100-150 bps due to deflation in many staples and non-food products. The same-store sales growth for two-year and older stores (~327 or 77% of stores) was 7.1% YoY. Yet, Revenue/sqft growth was 1.5% and rev/store 1.9% YoY. This implies softer revenue contribution from newer stores in the brokerage's view.

NDTV Profit's special research section collates quality and in-depth equity and economy research reports from across India's top brokerages, asset managers and research agencies. These reports offer NDTV Profit's subscribers an opportunity to expand their understanding of companies, sectors and the economy. 

Dolat Capital Report

Avenue Supermarts Ltd.'s Q1 FY26 results were inline and soft. Standalone Revenue/gross profit /Ebitda/adjusted profit after tax were at 16.2/14.1/7.6/2.3% YoY. Earnings growth was in single digit for four consecutive quarters and ~9% over FY23-25.

The business model remains strong to deliver 14-16% revenue/ EPS CAGR over the long-term, led by sizeable opportunity in large F&G space. Accelerated store expansion, soft base, category-mix improvement, new launches & built-up in DMart Ready are potential triggers.

While increased competition from Qcom presents a short-term challenge, we believe this pressure will ease within two-four quarters due to weak profitability and funding crunch (after which DMart shall benefit even more). In the interim DMart is competing effectively.

We trim our FY26/27E APAT by 1/3% to factor weak margins. Reiterate ‘Reduce' rating with revised target price of Rs 4,065 (including Rs 200 for DMart Ready) valuing at 65x FY27E standalone EPS (earlier Rs 4,150 @ 65x FY27).

Our rating reflects near-term weak performance, competition from Qcom and rich valuations; bias remains positive.

Click on the attachment to read the full report:

Dolat Capital Avenue Supermarts (Q1FY26 Result Update)_11-July-2025.pdf
VIEW DOCUMENT

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