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Stock Recommendations Today: Industrials, IT, Banks On Brokerages' Radar

Here are the top calls from Jefferies, CLSA, Investec and other analysts you need to know about on Thursday.

<div class="paragraphs"><p>Analysts from Jefferies and CLSA share their insights. (Photo Source: Pexels)</p></div>
Analysts from Jefferies and CLSA share their insights. (Photo Source: Pexels)

Jefferies remains constructive on the Indian power and defence sectors, and shares its top stock picks. CLSA expects HCL and Infosys to improve their fiscal 2025 guidance.

Investec expects price hikes in cement rates, and Nuvama shares its outlook on road infrastructure and projects.

Motilal Oswal is bullish on Signature Global, while Citi offers its take on banks and non-banking lenders.

NDTV Profit tracks what the brokerages are putting out on stocks and sectors. Here are the top calls from analysts you need to know about on Thursday: 

Jefferies On Industrials 2025 Outlook

  • Double digit capex growth to be watched for in fiscal 2026 budget.

  • Fiscal 2025 budget retained 16% year-on-year government capex growth of the interim budget.

  • Actual spend disappointing with centre capex declining 15% year-on-year in the first seven months of the financial year.

  • 32% year-on-year growth needed in Nov-March 2025 for 5% growth to be achieved in FY25.

  • Remain constructive on the power and defence sectors.

  • Power capex CAGR highest in sub-segments—Siemens, Thermax, KEI good plays.

  • Top picks include Siemens, HAL, Thermax and Larsen & Toubro.

  • Ratings include maintaining a 'buy' call on:

  • Siemens, with a target price of Rs 9,555, indicating a 21% potential upside.

  • Hindustan Aeronautics, with a target price of Rs 5,500, indicating a 30% potential upside.

  • L&T, with a target price of Rs 4,600, indicating a 27% potential upside.

  • Thermax, with a target price of Rs 6,100, indicating a 28% potential upside.

CLSA On IT Third Quarter Preview

  • Expect HCL and Infosys to improve their FY25 guidance.

  • Stretched valuation keeps ‘cautiously optimistic’ despite improved US economy.

  • Maintain 'hold' on large caps including TCS, Infosys, and HCL Technologies.

  • Downgrade Wipro to 'hold' from 'outperform' due to recent price movement.

Jefferies On Larsen & Toubro

  • Maintain 'buy' on L&T, with a revised target price of Rs 4,600 versus Rs 4,160 earlier, implying a 27% potential upside.

  • Low investor expectations built in, expect stock upside on guidance delivery.

  • Revenue beat and margin delivery in the first half of the fiscal give confidence on healthy second half.

  • FY25 order flow guidance was maintained at 10% year-on-year growth.

  • L&T could see an additional re-rating on the ESG leg.

  • Raised target price given improved visibility on government infra spend post Maharashtra elections.

Investec On Cement

  • Retain 'buy' rating on Ambuja Cements, JK Cement, and UltraTech Cement.

  • Pan-India cement prices rose Rs 8.5 per bag month-on-month in Dec. 2024, 8% lower year-on-year.

  • Price hikes of Rs 10-20 per bag expected in Jan. 2025 in some areas.

  • Demand improved slightly month-on-month but still weaker year-on-year; revival likely post Sankranti.

  • Above-normal rainfall of nearly 8% and strong Rabi sowing to support demand.

  • North prices up Rs 9 to Rs 369, Delhi/Jaipur up Rs 10 with a Rs 10-15 hike expected in Jaipur.

  • Central prices up Rs 11 to Rs 327, Indore up Rs 15, Agra/Lucknow up Rs 10 with a Rs 10 hike likely.

  • West prices up Rs 6 to Rs 359, Ahmedabad up Rs 15, Mumbai up Rs 5 with a Rs 10-20 hike expected.

  • East prices up Rs 15 to Rs 351, Patna/Ranchi up Rs 20 and Bhubaneswar/Kolkata up Rs 10.

  • South prices up Rs 2 to Rs 21, Vizag/Madurai up Rs 5 and a Rs 10-15 hike expected in Vizag/Chennai.

Nuvama On Infrastructure

  • After a muted start in fiscal 2025, road awarding improved Jul. 2024 onwards.

  • In the first nine months, NHAI awarded up to 663 kilometre projects, up 71% year-on-year on low base.

  • Road construction in Dec. 2024 at 630km mark, up 97% year-on-year or 186% month-on-month.

  • Road developers must work on segmental diversification.

  • Intense competition for road projects remains a worry.

  • Remain cautious on road-focused players.

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Nomura On ITC

  • Maintains 'buy' with a higher target price of Rs 575, indicating a potential upside of 19%.

  • Hotels demerger to unlock value.

  • Believes listing of ITC Hotels shares will be in the range of Rs 200-300 per share.

  • Potential listing price range for ITC Hotels is higher than current estimates.

  • Lowers fiscal 2025 to 2027 EPS by 3% and builds in margin compression.

  • Key risk: High tax increases in cigarettes resulting in a sharp decline in cigarette volumes and Ebit.

Goldman Sachs On FMCG And Paints Preview

  • Third quarter is expected to be weak across top line and bottom line.

  • FMCG volume growth slowdown driven by macro and micro factors.

  • Spike in palm oil, coffee and tea prices to impact gross margins of Godrej Consumer Products, Tata, Britannia, HUL and Nestle.

  • Paints industry growth to remain muted, increased competition may also impact.

  • Marico, Pidilite, United spirits likely to deliver resilient performance.

Citi On Banks

  • Upgrade Kotak Mahindra Bank to 'buy' and open 90 day positive catalyst watch and raise target price to Rs 2,070, indicating a 15% potential upside.

  • Preferred picks include ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, etc.

  • Estimate 1% quarter-on-quarter and 7-8% year-on-year NII growth, 10-12% year-on-year PPOP/PAT growth in quarter three.

  • Quarter three slippages to rise, see credit cost to be elevated.

  • Sharp cut in IIB/RBK earnings leading to lower target price.

  • Rate 'buy' on IndusInd Bank, with a price target of Rs 1,378 from Rs 1,630, see 43% upside potential.

  • Rate 'buy' on RBL Bank, with price target of Rs 205 from Rs 255, see 29% upside potential.

Motilal Oswal On Signature Global

  • Reiterate 'buy' rating, with target price of Rs 2,000 per share, implying a 48% potential upside.

  • Expects to clock 35% CAGR in pre-sales over FY24-27.

  • Excellent execution ensures 90% CAGR topline growth over FY24-27.

  • Strategic shift from affordable to mid or mid-premium segment.

  • Expected to drive a strong cumulative OCF of Rs 9,500 crore.

  • Will enable co to turn net cash positive and reinvest in land to fuel future growth.

  • Key risks include slowdown in residential absorption and delay in the monetisation of forthcoming projects

Citi On Non-Bank Lenders

  • Open a 90 day positive catalyst watch on Bajaj Finance.

  • Earnings growth is likely to be robust for Bajaj Finance and Aavas

  • Wheels, SME, and CD financing to gain quarter-on-quarter traction on festive demand.

  • Temporary hitch in Hyderabad/Bangalore could impact prime housing disbursements.

  • NBFCs with higher exposure to PL/MFI to see slower growth, elevated credit cost.

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