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ICICI Securities Report
Blinkit is accelerating its dark store addition trajectory, having achieved adjusted Ebitda breakeven in March 2024. Management guided for doubling store count to 1,000 by FY25 (~300 store pipeline ready). In our view, this is a strategic move to gain market share in QC through geographical expansion while competitors are still focused on profit improvement.
Given faster growth ambitions, management has guided for near-zero Ebitda in the next two-three quarters. We have cut our Blinkit adjusted Ebitda estimate for FY25E by 68%; however, FY26E Blinkit adjusted Ebitda estimate is revised up by 11.4%.
In food delivery we think the recent innovations in bulk ordering and veg only fleet should boost revenue growth; while gold plan optimisation and priority delivery should aid further profit improvement. Maintain Buy, target price Rs 300.
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