Ramco Cements Q3 Review— Weak Realisation Drags Earnings; Motilal Oswal Retains 'Neutral', Lowers Target Price

Higher competition and pricing pressure in its key markets, leveraged balance sheets, and low return ratios will keep the stock price range-bound, says Motilal Oswal

Ramco Cements' revenue /Ebitda /adjusted PAT stood at Rs 19.8 billion/Rs 2.8 billion/Rs 32 milion (down 6%/ 29%/97% YoY and down 2%/14%/90% versus our estimates) in Q3 FY25.

(Photo source: Freepik)

Ramco Cement’s net debt declined by Rs 4.9 billion QoQ to Rs 46.2 billion as of Dec-24, aided by proceeds from the disposal of non-core assets (monetized Rs 4.4 billion in 9M versus its target of Rs 10.0 billion by June-25)

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Motilal Oswal Report

The Ramco Cements Ltd.’s earnings were below our estimates, mainly due to lower realization. Higher competitive intensity in the company’s core market in the South has kept cement prices under pressure. Further, the company’s volume share in the South surged to ~79% in Q3 FY25 versus ~76% in Q3 FY24.

We expect the company’s volume growth to moderate to ~7% CAGR over FY25- 27 versus ~18% over FY21-25E. Higher competition and pricing pressure in its key markets, leveraged balance sheets, and low return ratios (RoE/ROCE in midsingle digits till FY26/FY27) will keep the stock price range-bound.

At current market price, the stock trades at 14/12x FY26E/FY27E enterprise value/Ebitda. We value Ramco Cements at 12 times Dec’26E EV/Ebitda and reiterate our Neutral rating with a revised target price of Rs 870 (earlier Rs 950).

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Motilal Oswal Ramco Cements Q3FY25 Results Review.pdf
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Also Read: SBI Q3 Review — Motilal Oswal Reiterates 'Buy', Says Robust Asset Quality; Lower Provisions Drive Earnings

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