ICICI Bank focuses on ‘customer 360’ to deliver consistent and predictable return to shareholders, which has helped improve its operational efficiency. We remain positive on ICICI Bank given its ability to maintain RoA above 2%.
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IDBI Capital Report
ICICI Bank Ltd. reported slowdown in credit growth to 13% YoY versus 14% YoY (Q3 FY25) vs 15% YoY (Q2 FY25); while deposit growth remains stable at 14% YoY (vs ~14% YoY Q3 FY25). We expect 14.5% CAGR (FY25-27E) loan growth. Net interest margins improved post decline in last six quarters led by rise in yields. However, need to watch out for impact of rate cut on NIMs.
Asset quality improved due to lower slippages. Bank reported strong profitability growth at 18% YoY led by lower operating expenses. Pre-provision operating profit grew by 18% YoY led by higher non-interest income (up 29% YoY).
Lower credit costs led by better recoveries resulted in best return ratios in last few years; RoA at 2.49% (Q4 FY25).
We have revised estimates upwards led by better margins. We maintain ‘Buy’ rating with a new target price of Rs 1,615 (Rs 1,490), valuing parent business at Rs1,402 at 2.6X P/ABV FY27E and rest for the subsidiaries.
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