Hindustan Aeronautics Is Primed Up For Good Returns, Says ICICI Securities Post Record Ebitda Margin In Q4

ICICI Securities maintains 'Buy' on HAL and hikes target price

Hindustan Aeronautics' Q4 FY25 Ebitda was significantly ahead of estimate.  (Source: HAL website)

ICICI Securities believes HAL ticks all the boxes with healthy orderbook and margins; robust order funnel (probable); and improving execution. The brokerage believes management’s guidance of 8-10% revenue growth in FY26 is a tad conservative and estimate revenue growth to be upwards of 15%. That said, the brokerage prunes its earlier revenue growth estimates of 22-25%, given the timeline of execution and possible delays in the same.

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ICICI Securities Report

Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd.'s Q4 FY25 Ebitda was significantly ahead of our estimate. Key points:

  1. Ebitda margin at 38.6% was aided by higher proportion of RoH revenue;

  2. FY25 closing orderbook stood at a healthy level of Rs 1.84 trillion; and

  3. cost reduction, capacity and capability building remain key focus areas for the management.

Management has guided for revenue growth of 8-10% (seems conservative) and Ebitda/operating margin at healthy 31%/27% for FY26.

Taking cognisance of management’s guidance, we have lowered our FY26/27E EPS by 10%/22%, respectively. That said, considering lower execution risks, we lower our WACC to 10% (earlier 11%), resulting in a revised target price of Rs 6,150 (earlier Rs 5,000). Maintain Buy.

Click on the attachment to read the full report:

ICICI Securities HAL_Q4FY25_Results_May25.pdf
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