Genus Power Gets ICICI Securities Downgrade On Recent Stock Run-Up

With the recent run-up in the stock price, ICICI Securities downgrades its rating to Add, from Buy, but hikes target price.

Genus’ order book, as of March 2025, surged to Rs 301 billion.  (Representative image. Photo source: Unsplash)

Genus had struck a marquee deal with GIC for an equity investment of Rs 5.2 billion for 15% stake in the company in Q1 FY24. Also, it is setting up a platform to bid for smart meter tenders in the future (Genus shall be the sole supplier of smart meters to this platform).

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ICICI Securities Report

On the heels of a robust Q3 FY25, Genus Power Infrastructures Ltd. delivered an even stronger performance in Q4 FY25. It witnessed a sharp uptick in execution and profitability in H2 FY25 – revenue in H2 FY25 surpassed its full-year FY24 figure, while Ebitda margin improved 480 bps over H1 FY25’s level. As a result, FY25 revenue/Ebitda/PAT grew to ~2x/3.5x/4x its FY24 levels; Ebitda margin surged to 19.2% (+790bps YoY).

Genus has almost achieved its guided revenue of Rs 25 billion for the fiscal and surpassed its Ebitda margin guidance of 15–16%. It has also increased its guidance for FY26 – revenue growth of ~65% (vs 30–40% earlier) and Ebitda margin of 18% (vs 15–16% earlier).

Its order book, as of Mar’25, also surged to Rs 301 billion (+43% YoY). Note that a number of smart meter tenders are yet to be finalised.

As a result, we expect new opportunities from smart meters to be healthy in FY26E/FY27E. However, given the recent run-up in Genus’ stock price, we downgrade the stock to Add, from Buy.

Click on the attachment to read the full report:

ICICI Securities Genus Power Q4FY25 Results Jun25.pdf
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