GAIL Q4 Results Review: Systematix Retains 'Buy' Citing Positive Growth Outlook; Hikes Target Price

GAIL is well-positioned to grow in scale and product diversity, adds Systematix

GAIL India Ltd.’s Q4 FY25 operational performance was ahead of estimates owing to positive earnings surprise from gas marketing business. (Photo Source: Company website)

GAIL is set to augment its CNG network by adding 255 new stations and facilitating 3.2L DPNG connections in the next two years. The company reaffirmed its transmission volume projecting at 138 mmscmd/148mmscmd while trading volume is guided for 106/110mmscmd for FY26/FY27. Additionally, the company anticipates a minimum marketing Ebitda of Rs 40-45 billion in FY26.

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GAIL India Ltd.’s Q4 FY25 operational performance was ahead of our estimates owing to positive earnings surprise from gas marketing business. Revenue was up 10.4% YoY/2.1% QoQ to Rs 357 billion, Ebitda declined 9.6% YoY to Rs 32.2 billion primarily due to losses in petrochemical business (-99.5% YoY) and dip in trading profits (-13% YoY).

On the volume front, gas trading volume was up 6.6% YoY to 106.5mmscmd while gas transmission/Petchem/LPG volume declined 2.3%/5.4%/23.8% YoY to 120.8mmscmd/229KT/198KT, respectively.

Sequentially, Ebitda was up 13% led by gas marketing and LPG transmission business segments while other businesses witnessed a de-growth.

Further, higher depreciation and lower other income led to an adjusted profit after tax of Rs 20.5 billion, down 5.9% YoY/0.6% QoQ, in line with estimates.

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Systematix GAIL Q4FY25 Results Review.pdf
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Also Read: GAIL Q4 Results Review: Brokerages Upbeat On Resilient Earnings Amid Global Gas Price Volatility

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