Subdued demand and raw material prices volatility has dragged H1 FY26 performance of Finolex Industries. The brokerage believes despite near-term challenges, Finolex Industries is poised to outperform the peers given its strong brand recall, capacity addition and healthy balance sheet. The management expects anti-dumping duty on PVC to lead higher domestic prices of PVC, which will support realization and operating margin.
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Finolex Industries Ltd.’s Q2 FY26 result was a mixed bag as net sales was marginally below our estimate, while margins were beat to our forecast.
Volume decreased by about 6% YoY mainly on account of prolonged heavy monsoon. The management anticipates a rebound in deferred demand once the monsoon recedes and does not foresee a significant overall decline in agri demand.
The company faced global structural issues in the VCM market, which it is attempting to manage through long-term contracts to ensure continued supply.
The management reiterated that the core focus remains on being a pipes and fittings producer and marketer. The long-term endeavour is to achieve a fairly good dependence on both agri and non-agri segments to manage seasonality.
The management is focused on to structure the organization to better achieve the aspirational 50% agri-50% non-agri split.
We have maintained our earnings estimates for FY26E/FY27E and reiterate Hold with a revised target price of Rs 207 (unchanged) assigning 15x PER on FY27E.
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