Given the current weak deposit growth trends and elevated C-D ratio levels, we reduce Axis Bank's FY25/26/27 loan growth estimates to 9%/12%/11% from 12%/13%/14% estimates earlier.
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Systematix Research Report
Axis Bank Ltd. reported Q3 FY25 profit after tax of Rs 63 billion which declined by -9% QoQ, +4% YoY mainly due to-
weak net interest income growth (1% QoQ, 9% YoY) led by margin compression and weak loan growth,
weak other income growth (-11% QoQ) on strong base,
higher credit costs on higher retail slippages,'partly offset by opex decline (-5% QoQ, +1% YoY).
Given that credit-deposit ratio will remain elevated and retail slippages are yet to peak out, earnings are likely to remain under pressure in near term, albeit Q4 will benefit from favorable seasonality.
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