IMD Forecasts 'Above Normal' Monsoon, Sees Rainfall At 106% Of Long-Period Average

India is set to receive plentiful rains this year as the southwest monsoon season will see above-normal rainfall, the government said on Tuesday. The southwest monsoon season runs from June to September in the country.

The rainfall is expected to be up to 106% of the 50-year average, M Ravichandran, secretary at the Ministry of Earth Sciences said at a press briefing.

The India Meteorological Department forecasts above-normal rainfall over Central India and South Peninsular India (more than 106% of LPA), normal monsoon over Northwest India (92-108% of LPA) and below normal over Northeast India (94% of LPA).

For June, rainfall up to 108% of the average is expected. "During June 2025, Normal to above normal monthly rainfall is very likely over most parts of the country, except some southern parts of peninsular India and parts of Northwest and Northeast India, where below normal rainfall is likely," the IMD bulletin said.

Currently, neutral El Nino conditions are prevailing over the equatorial Pacific region. The latest Monsoon Mission Climate Forecast System (MMCFS) as well as other climate model forecasts indicate that the neutral ENSO conditions are likely to continue during the monsoon season, the IMD said.