OPEC+ May Need To Rethink Decision To Slash Oil Output, IEA Says

The move is fueling inflation, especially in developing countries, and may require a “rethink,” Fatih Birol said.

Fatih Birol, executive director of the International Energy Agency (IAE), during a Bloomberg Television interview on the opening day of the World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos, Switzerland, on Monday, May 23, 2022. The annual Davos gathering of political leaders, top executives and celebrities runs from May 22 to 26.

The head of the International Energy Agency slammed last month’s decision by OPEC+ to reduce oil output, saying it’ll worsen the outlook for countries sliding toward a recession.

“The recent decision of OPEC+ to cut the production by 2 million barrels a day was definitely not helpful,” IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol said Wednesday in an interview from the COP27 summit in Egypt. The move is fueling inflation, especially in developing countries, and may require a “rethink,” he said.

WATCH: IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol discusses clean energy investment and the output-cut decision by OPEC+.Source: Bloomberg
WATCH: IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol discusses clean energy investment and the output-cut decision by OPEC+.Source: Bloomberg

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies have argued that the supply curbs are necessary in the face of severe economic uncertainty. Trends in prices and demand shortly after the decision gave some vindication to the strategy, but oil is now once again heading toward $100 a barrel, just weeks before additional sanctions on Russian crude exports kick in.

Read more: OPEC+ Cuts That Steadied Market Now Bring Risk of $100 Crude

Energy-importing nations in Africa, Asia and Latin America will suffer the most from OPEC+’s output cut, according to the IEA, an adviser to developed countries. Investments in fossil fuels need to continue -- alongside those in renewables -- to enhance global energy security, Birol said.

In the past, the IEA has cautioned against more fossil-fuel spending, warning in 2021 that the world must stop developing new oil and gas fields or face a dangerous rise in global temperatures.

--With assistance from and .

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