DMart Q3 Results Review - Bottom Of The Earnings Downgrade Cycle In Sight: HDFC Securities

DMart continues to navigate the challenging competitive landscape; maintaining its value proposition, improving assortment mix while maintaining operational efficiency will be key, says the brokerage.

DMart's Q3 FY25 same-store sales growth stood at 8.3% and sales density grew 3.6% YoY at Rs 38.7k/sq ft annualised.

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DMart continues to navigate the challenging competitive landscape (courtesy QC players). Maintaining its value proposition, improving assortment mix while maintaining operational efficiency will be key.

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HDFC Securities Institutional Equities

Avenue Supermarts Ltd. reported standalone revenue of Rs 155.7 billion in Q3, reflecting a 17.5% YoY increase. Q3 FY25 same-store sales growth stood at 8.3% and sales density grew 3.6% YoY at Rs 38.7k/sq ft annualised.

Management acknowledged to increased discounting intensity in FMCG category in H1 (reducing at the margin). Ebitdam contracted 53 bps YoY to 7.9% (our estimate: 8.4%) owing to high overheads. Note: Cost of retailing remained elevated at 6.1% (versus 5.7% in Q3 FY24). DMart Ready business grew 21.5% in 9MFY25.

Mr. Neville Noronha has decided to step down as MD and CEO by January 2026. Anshul Asawa will be appointed as the next CEO. While we marginally cut our FY26/27 EPS estimates by 2% each; it seems DMart might be closer to the end of its earnings downgrade cycle; hence, we recently (Q3 FY25 preview note) upgraded the stock to an ADD rating with a DCF-based target price of Rs 3,950/share, implying 60x FY27E P/E.

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HDFC Securities Institutional Equities DMart Q3FY25 Results Review.pdf
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Also Read: DMart Q3 Review - Lower Margin, Higher CoR Result In Earnings Miss; Motilal Oswal Retains 'Buy' On The Stock

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