In its analyst meet DCB Bank unveiled its aspiration to become a “FullService Banker” from being merely a “Lender or Service Provider”, without altering its fundamentals and further strengthening and effectively leveraging its core capabilities.
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Axis Securities Report
DCB Bank Ltd. remains well-positioned to deliver its aspirational RoA of 1% by FY27, supported by-
improving NIMs,
a strengthening fee income profile,
gradual moderation in the opex ratio, driven by improved efficiency and productivity, and
range-bound credit costs.
We expect DCB’s RoA/RoE to improve to 1%/14-15% over FY27-28E, compared with 0.9%/12.2% in FY26. We temper down our growth estimates marginally, resulting in a 1-2% cut in our NII estimates over FY26-28E.
The lower-than-expected improvement in Opex ratios is largely offset by the benign credit costs. However, we lower our EPS estimates by 2-4% over FY26-28E.
The stock has seen a sharp run-up post Q2 results with strong visibility on 1% RoA delivery, resulting in valuation catch-up. Sustained strong performance across key operating metrics and push to further improve RoA beyond 1%, closer to its closest peers, driven by improved operational efficiency and better-than-expected performance on NIMs, should drive further stock performance.
We value the stock at 0.95x FY27E adjusted book value to arrive at a target price of Rs 200/share, implying an upside of 14% from the currenta market price.
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