Axis Securities Ups DCB Bank's Target Price; Maintains 'Buy' On 14% Upside Potential

Going ahead, DCB Bank will focus on mobilizing deposits at an optimal cost to narrow the cap in CoD between peer banks by at least another 10bps.

DCB aims to double this portfolio over the next 3–3.5 years and expects to maintain a sustainable growth rate of 18-20% credit growth.

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In its analyst meet DCB Bank unveiled its aspiration to become a “FullService Banker” from being merely a “Lender or Service Provider”, without altering its fundamentals and further strengthening and effectively leveraging its core capabilities.

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Axis Securities Report

DCB Bank Ltd. remains well-positioned to deliver its aspirational RoA of 1% by FY27, supported by-

  1. improving NIMs,

  2. a strengthening fee income profile,

  3. gradual moderation in the opex ratio, driven by improved efficiency and productivity, and

  4. range-bound credit costs.

We expect DCB’s RoA/RoE to improve to 1%/14-15% over FY27-28E, compared with 0.9%/12.2% in FY26. We temper down our growth estimates marginally, resulting in a 1-2% cut in our NII estimates over FY26-28E.

The lower-than-expected improvement in Opex ratios is largely offset by the benign credit costs. However, we lower our EPS estimates by 2-4% over FY26-28E.

The stock has seen a sharp run-up post Q2 results with strong visibility on 1% RoA delivery, resulting in valuation catch-up. Sustained strong performance across key operating metrics and push to further improve RoA beyond 1%, closer to its closest peers, driven by improved operational efficiency and better-than-expected performance on NIMs, should drive further stock performance.

We value the stock at 0.95x FY27E adjusted book value to arrive at a target price of Rs 200/share, implying an upside of 14% from the currenta market price.

Click on the attachment to read the full report:

Axis Securities DCB-Bank-Ltd---Analyst-Meet-Update---17112025.pdf
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Also Read: Q2 Review: Midcaps Standout In A Flattish Quarter; SBI, ONGC Among Motilal Oswal's Top Upgrades— Check Details

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