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ICICI Securities Report
Nominal gross domestic product grew 19.1% in CY21, while real GDP was reported to have grown only 8.3% (still the fastest in the G20, the fourth year India was the world’s fastest-growing large economy in the past seven and 75 years).
The GDP deflator (up 10.8%YoY) rose even faster than the reported rise in Wholesale Price Index in CY21 (10.7%); the largest component of GDP (private consumption expenditure, about 60% of GDP) saw its official deflator rise 7.7% in CY21, improbably faster than the 5.1% rise in Consumer Price Index.
Real GDP was, in our view, under-estimated considerably in CY21 because the deflators were inaccurate.
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