US Trade Deficit Unexpectedly Shrinks To Smallest Since 2020

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The value of US exports rose 3% to the second-highest level on record, fueled by non-monetary gold and pharmaceutical preparations (Image source: Bloomberg)
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  • US trade deficit narrowed to $52.8 billion in September, smallest since mid-2020
  • Exports rose 3% to second-highest level, driven by gold and pharmaceuticals
  • Imports increased modestly by 0.6%, with declines in capital equipment and autos
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The US trade deficit unexpectedly narrowed in September to the smallest since mid-2020 as exports surged.

The goods and services trade gap shrank nearly 11% from the prior month to $52.8 billion, Commerce Department data showed Thursday. The median estimate in a Bloomberg survey of economists was for a $63.1 billion deficit.

The value of US exports rose 3% to the second-highest level on record, fueled by non-monetary gold and pharmaceutical preparations. Imports increased a more modest 0.6%. The figures aren't adjusted for inflation.

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Large monthly swings in trade this year related to US implementation of tariffs have introduced similar volatility in the government's measure of economic activity — gross domestic product. The September trade figures will help economists fine tune their estimates for third-quarter GDP.

Prior to the monthly report, the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta's GDPNow forecast saw net exports contributing 0.86 percentage point to third-quarter growth.

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On an inflation-adjusted basis, the merchandise trade deficit narrowed to $79 billion in September, the smallest in nearly five years. Exports of consumer goods, after adjusting for price changes, were the largest on record.

The data also showed a sizable pickup in inbound shipments of pharmaceuticals. Imports of capital equipment and autos fell, as did imports of most consumer goods, including cell phones, appliances, toys and furniture.

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Meanwhile, a record value of nonmonetary gold was exported in September, largely reversing a recent surge in inbound shipments tied to tariff concerns. A month earlier, gold imports slumped after a massive increase in tariffs on Switzerland, a large exporter of the precious metal.

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