Brokerages' Radar
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Brokerages issued fresh views on Sun Pharma, Coforge, LG India, Polycab, Trent, Colgate, Tata Motors PV and more alongside commentary on cement, and financial sector.
Macquarie on Sun Pharma
- Maintain Outperform with TP of Rs 2150.
- Organon - highly sought after asset.
- Competing bids converged meaningfully close to Sun Pharma's offer of $14/share.
- Two other credible parties reaching approximately $13/share before exiting the process.
- Key interested parties included a European pharmaceutical company, a financial sponsor (private equity), and a private healthcare holding company.
- Maintain a constructive view on the Sun–Organon deal.
- Believe concerns around the combined entity's near-term top-line growth are overstated.
MS on Coforge
- Maintain Overweight with TP of Rs 1500
- Aspiration to reach $5bn in revenue by FY30 (including inorganic), which implies a CAGR of 15% on an organic basis
- Preference of debt repayment over dividends can create shareholder value but needs to be evaluated by the Board
- Liked the confidence showcased by management in its FY30 vision
- Expectations for broad-based growth across verticals
- Retain constructive view on Coforge as we expect it to deliver the strongest revenue CAGR over FY26-28
- Believe in the current weak sector environment management's expectations may require even stronger execution than showcased in the past.
UBS on Coforge
- Maintain Neutral with TP of Rs 1505.
- Ambitious targets laid out for FY30.
- Recent growth trajectory to continue.
- Margin expansion led by operational discipline; capital allocation to prioritize growth.
- Large-deal scaling and account concentration driving growth.
- Pivot towards platformisation and hybrid talent models.
Nomura on Coforge
- Maintain Buy with TP of Rs 2100
- Eyeing doubling of revenue by FY30E led by AI.
- Disciplined financial rigour to continue.
- AI is central to delivery organisation.
- Solution team aiding in large deal win momentum.
UBS on Pine Labs
- Technology was the key focus of Pine Labs' Analyst Day.
- Affordability to be key value driver; multiple vectors to support overall growth.
- Revenue/EBITDA guidance reiterated, aided by rising high-margin business.
- Expects to continue generating operating cash flow, although some seasonality could linger.
Jefferies on Polycab
- Maintain Buy; Hike TP to Rs 10920 from Rs 9770.
- Polycab stays a conviction pick, led by consistent market share gains.
- See strong order book in RDSS & Bharat Net, diverse sales, power proxy and FMEG sustaining positive EBIT.
- In past 15-quarters, Polycab has posted double-digit C&W sales growth with 12-15% EBIT.
- Est FY26-29 EPS CAGR at +22%.
Jefferies on AU SFB
- Maintain Buy with TP of Rs 1,250.
- AUM growth outlook remains strong.
- Steady deposit growth; hike in rates may cap NIM expansion.
- Operating leverage to aid profitability.
- Universal bank transition is a key milestone; capital raise contingent.
- Asset quality trends are holding-up well.
- Strong growth & profitability support premium valuations.
Jefferies on Navin Fluorine
- Maintain Buy; Hike TP to Rs 8700 from Rs 8385.
- Building Long-Term Growth.
- CDMO - US$ 200mn Revenue aspiration for 2030.
- Specialty Chem - Deepening and broadening with key clients.
- Cooling solutions - Multiple growth engines.
- Incubating the semiconductor chemicals vertical.
- Project 22% EPS Cagr over FY26-29; Valuation is at long-term average.
Citi on Crompton Consumer
- Maintain Buy with TP of Rs 400.
- Demand has started to improve, helped by strong summer and partly led by low base.
- Crompton's products are relatively non-discretionary, but price shock can defer purchases and channel elasticity can shift share across brands.
- Crompton has taken 4 rounds of price hikes in fans aggregating 9–10%.
- Near term priority is revenue growth, while margin recovery should be more visible through FY27.
Citi on Godrej Consumer
- Maintain Buy with TP of Rs 1,300.
- Demand trends remain fairly stable so far despite commodity cost inflation and a subsequent price hike to mitigate the impact.
- Mgmt. reiterated its expectations of achieving high-single-digit volume growth in FY27.
- Growth construct to be driven by the ‘Speedboats' growing at 30%+ over the medium-term.
- New category creation through innovation could potentially create the future Speedboats segments.
Citi on Trent
- Maintain Sell with TP of Rs 2733.
- Demand appears to be holding up reasonably well.
- Supply-side remain noisy across RM (polyester/cotton), labour availability, etc.
- inflation impact in the medium-term is limited.
- Prefer not to pass on the entire cost impact.
- Real estate remains an important variable, but Trent's asymmetric lease structures continue to provide a strong option value
- Zudio's opportunity appears larger than earlier envisaged.
- Trent continues to evaluate lifestyle adjacencies.
Citi on Pine Labs
- Maintain Buy with TP of Rs 235.
- Growth guidance of 21-23% YoY led by online payments, prepaid and affordability.
- Substantial operating leverage remains ahead.
- Guidance of steady headcount despite product development initiatives.
- Prepaid breakage is not material to the company's revenue/EBITDA.
- Expect 18.5% top-line CAGR over FY26-28E, Adj EBITDA margins to expand to 26%/30% in FY27/28E vs 21% in FY26.
Citi on Colgate
- Maintain Sell with TP of Rs 2,050.
- Growth trajectory should be more balanced; a favorable base is helping.
- Pricing is returning, but net realization may remain moderated by competitive intensity.
- Premiumization remains the key structural growth lever.
- Margin trade-offs are likely to persist despite healthy gross margins.
Jefferies on PB Fintech
- Maintain Buy with TP of Rs 1950.
- PB has derated 20% over last 6 months due to concerns around commission regulations and founder exit.
- Est. the price is already factoring a 10% commission cut.
- Further, the business model is unlikely to change with renewal profitability unchanged.
- Risks from founder stake sale may be overdone as business management teams are well-entrenched.
​Bernstein on Financials
- Debate around introducing a Merchant Discount Rate (MDR) on UPI has resurfaced—yet again
- Believe broad-based MDR remains unlikely given the risk to adoption
- Any potential MDR is likely to be limited to a combination of merchant size and transaction thresholds
- Further, competitive pressures could constrain realized pricing, even if MDR is introduced
- Biggest beneficiaries would likely be payment platforms serving large merchants that have already demonstrated a willingness to pay processing fees
- A credible path to monetization would represent a clear positive for payment platforms
JP Morgan on Bajaj Housing Finance
- Maintain Underweight with TP of Rs 70.
- Attrition tapering offers sector tailwind.
- Focus on high-yield segments.
- Medium-term RoA/RoE guidance intact.
- The franchise is best-in-class.
- But expensive valuations limit stock upside.
HSBC on Cement
- Cost inflation worries to abate, pricing requires industry discipline; outlook positive.
- Costs to peak in Q1, and decline in H2.
- Lower crude could drive costs down in FY28.
- While pause in new capacity adds is positive, industry discipline is key to cement price increases and earnings upgrades.
- Top picks: Ambuja, UltraTech, Dalmia, Nuvoco all Buys; retain Hold on JK Cement, Shree Cement.
CLSA on LG India
- Initiate Outperform with TP of Rs 1830.
- One brand, many homes.
- Market leadership with margin tailwinds.
- Positioning it as a key beneficiary of India's durable consumption upcycle.
- Expect the large appliances segment to deliver double-digit CAGR.
- Rising penetration and a shift towards premiumisation to aid growth.
- Strong brand, broad product portfolio and deep distribution reach should sustain leadership.
- Operating leverage, coupled with an increasing backward integration, is likely to support steady margin expansion.
BofA on Tata Motors PV
- Maintain Underperform with TP of Rs 335.
- Ahead of JLR analyst day: What matters for the margin bridge.
- Structural drags complicate margin recovery roadmap.
- Self help matters: Cost-out program & new launches key.
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