Hindalco Jumps As Analysts Reiterate 'Buy' After Unit Novelis Posts Record Q1

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A fork lift carrying aluminium ingots inside a Hindalco plant. (Photo: Company website)

Shares of Hindalco Industries Ltd. rose after its U.S. arm's operating performance beat analysts' estimates in the quarter ended June.

Novelis Corp. saw its net income rise to $307 million in the April-June 2022 period compared with $303 million a year ago.

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  • Sales jumped 32% over the year earlier to $5.1 billion.

  • Adjusted Ebitda rose 1% to a record $561 million.

  • Adjusted Ebitda per tonne rose to a record $583 from $570 a year ago.

Novelis is embarking on a five-year, transformative organic growth period to strengthen its position in the market, Birla Group's flagship aluminium maker said in an exchange filing. It identified more than $4.5 billion worth of potential investment opportunities.

Shares of Hindalco gained 4.5%, the most in this week so far in intraday trade, before closing with 2% gains in a volatile market.

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  • The trading volume was 1.5 times the 30-day average, when markets closed on Thursday.

  • Hindalco will report its earnings for June quarter on Aug. 10. The company beat EPS estimates for past eight fiscals, according to Bloomberg data.

  • The Relative Strength Index was 71, suggesting the stock may be overbought.

  • Of the 25 analysts tracking Hindalco, 23 maintain a 'buy' and one each suggests a 'hold' and a 'sell', according to Bloomberg data.

  • The average of the 12-month consensus price target implies a 20% upside.

  • Eight analysts reiterated 'buy' in the last two days, while one retained 'hold' on the stock.

Here's what brokerages have to say about Novelis' June-quarter performance and its potential implications for parent Hindalco.

  • Reiterates 'buy', raises target price to Rs 490, an implied return of 18.29%.

  • Rise in semiconductor supplies aided Novelis' North America performance as well as the overall beat in adjusted Ebitda.

  • Novelis' Ebitda guidance may be conservative even after the hike in Ebitda per tonne guidance.

  • Management expects working capital release for rest of the year as LME aluminum has corrected.

  • Marginally raises FY23 estimates for Novelis, given the strong Q1 performance.

  • Novelis continues to enjoy strong leadership position in secondary aluminum business.

  • Reiterates 'buy', raises target prices to Rs 550 from Rs 540, an implied return of 27.85%.

  • Novelis' Ebitda beat was aided by a sharp margin recovery in North America.

  • Concerns around economic growth slowdown in the West and its impact on Novelis are overblown.

  • Expects Novelis to recover from this phase of high cost inflation due to tight end-use market.

  • Expects Novelis' strong earnings to aid in compensating for the contraction in Indian aluminum spreads.

  • Reiterates 'buy' with a target price of Rs 515, an implied upside of 24.32%.

  • High product pricing, pass-through of higher cost to customers, favourable product mix (automotive and aerospace shipping) aided Novelis' adjusted Ebitda.

  • Novelis is set to witness stable demand for sustainable aluminum solutions.

  • Identifies Hindalco as a preferred play in the metal space.

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