Automobiles Q2 Earnings Preview - Festive Season, Easing Supply Issues Aid Sales: Prabhudas Lilladher

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Vehicles at a junction following the traffic signal. (Source: pxhere.com)

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Prabhudas Lilladher Report

In Q2 FY23, passenger vehicle segment outperformed other segments with ~15% QoQ volume growth supported by easing chip supplies and pent up festive season demand.

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With semiconductor supply now normalizing, PV original equipment manufacturers are serving their already healthy order book, mitigating longer waiting periods.

Two-wheeler segment has also witnessed a healthy ~10% QoQ growth, largely supported by festive season and premiumisation trend.

Commercial vehicle segment continues to witness stable growth, up 4% QoQ. On ground situation is steady as fleet utilisation levels are healthy, led by increased economic and infrastructural activities.

For our OEM coverage universe, we expect-

  1. aggregate revenue growth of ~9% QoQ,

  2. gross margin improvement (~50 bps), led by lag impact of commodity prices stabilising in the previous quarter and

  3. Ebitda margin expansion of ~100 bps QoQ.

From Q3 FY23 onwards, we expect margin expansion for auto OEMs driven by softening of commodity prices, price hikes and new model launches.

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