India's Q4 GDP Growth Hits 7.8% On Services Sector Boost

For the full financial year, the economy expanded at a robust 7.7% year-on-year, comfortably outperforming the Street's estimate of 7.5%.

Advertisement
Read Time: 3 mins
The GDP growth rate is higher than the analysts' estimate of 7.3% growth in the March quarter.
(Photo: NDTV Profit)

India's gross domestic product (GDP) grew by 7.8% in the January-March quarter, under the new series, as per the statistics released by the government on Friday. This is slightly lower as compared to the 8% growth posted in the preceding quarter.

The fourth quarter growth is higher than the estimate of 7.3%, as projected by the analysts tracked by Bloomberg.

For the full financial year (FY26), the economy expanded at a robust 7.7% year-on-year, comfortably outperforming the Street's estimate of 7.5%. This strong full-year print underscores the resilience of domestic macroeconomic fundamentals, which have sustained momentum despite escalating geopolitical headwinds and crude oil volatility triggered by the West Asia conflict.

Advertisement

Gross Value Added (GVA)—which strips out the impact of indirect taxes and subsidies to map the true picture of economic activity—surged by 7.9% in the January-March quarter. This was a sharp beat against the 7.3% consensus estimate, indicating that underlying productive momentum across sectors remains exceptionally solid.

ALSO READ: RBI MPC Lowers GDP Growth Projections Amid West Asia War, Supply Chain Pressure

Services And Finance Lead The Charge

The fourth-quarter growth was heavily anchored by the services and financial sectors, both of which delivered double-digit expansion. The contact-intensive trade, hotels, transport, and telecom segment was the standout performer, clocking a massive 12.5% year-on-year growth.

Advertisement

The finance and real estate sector closely followed, expanding by 10.4% during the March quarter. This reflects sustained credit demand, robust corporate earnings, and stable urban consumption patterns despite a high-interest-rate environment.

Manufacturing Holds Ground, Agriculture Lags

On the industrial front, the Manufacturing sector demonstrated structural resilience with a solid 7.3% year-on-year growth. The data indicates that factory output has largely absorbed the initial shocks of global supply chain disruptions and elevated input costs.

Advertisement

Construction activity also remained a vital growth engine, expanding by 8.4%, driven by the government's sustained capital expenditure push and a buoyant housing market.

However, the rural economy remains a distinct pressure point. The farm sector recorded a sluggish 3.6% growth in the fourth quarter, weighed down by the lingering impacts of erratic weather patterns and sub-par monsoon expectations.

Other key sectoral growth rates for the January-March period include public administration and defence, which grew at 5.8%, mining, which is up 5.4%, and power and gas which logged a 4.1% growth.

The stronger-than-expected GDP print provides a crucial buffer for policymakers. Arriving on the same day the Reserve Bank of India maintained its repo rate at 5.25%, the data reinforces the central bank's stance: domestic growth remains structurally intact, providing the headroom required to keep monetary policy focussed on managing imported inflation.

Advertisement

ALSO READ: RBI Monetary Policy: MPC Keeps Repo Rate Unchanged At 5.25%; Maintains Neutral Stance — All Details Here

Essential Business Intelligence, Continuous LIVE TV, Sharp Market Insights, Practical Personal Finance Advice and Latest Stories — On NDTV Profit.

Loading...