Vedanta - 2Vs, 1C Lend The Base Punch; ICICI Securities Re-Initiates Coverage With A 'Buy'

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Signage of Vedanta outside its office building. (Source: Vijay Sartape/NDTV Profit) 

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ICICI Securities Report

We resume coverage on Vedanta Ltd. with a Buy rating. We see Vedanta weaving its growth story around two ‘Vs' and one ‘C' viz. volume, value, and cost reduction–across segments, especially in its aluminium and Zinc-India divisions.

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Key points:

  1. Significant volume growth aspirations for all divisions.

  2. Aluminium/Zinc-India – potentially key earnings growth drivers.

  3. Oil and gas production is likely to bottom up by FY26E.

  4. Growth vectors at Vedanta may help pare debt by $3 billion over the next three years.

  5. Dividend yield could sustain at more than 5% per annum.

Put together, we envisage an Ebitda CAGR of 25% YoY through FY26E and RoE of 40–45% over the next two years.

A SoTP-based valuation arrives at a target price of Rs 600, implying an enterprise value/Ebitda of 5.7 times on FY26E and FY27E blended Ebitda (50% weight each).

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